Shiba Inu and its extremely high onchain activity
Assets covered: Shiba Inu (SHIB)
Metrics used: Exchange Outflow, Transaction Volume, Active Addresses, Active Deposits, Exchange Inflow, Network Realized Profit/Loss, Whale Transaction Count
Charts: https://app.santiment.net/s/kjwrYX-m
Shiba Inu has skyrocketed today (+70%!), lots of shill in social media detected.

What's happening to SHIB from onchain data perspective?
There are news circulating today saying that a few large whale buys preceded the pump.

We can check it.
First, what's the exchange outflow for SHIBA?

Yes, it's high. But not record high at all, we've seen larger purchases before. Though we have to admit that these levels of exchange outflow are generally good for a coin.
Next, transaction volume. Are the moves from the news really outstanding?

Well, nothing special at all in Shiba transaction volumes.
Yes, there was some activity in SHIB similar to what news are saying, but hardly meaningful for a token in fact.
Active Addresses

To be fair 4500 addresses a day at its lowest is crazy high. This coin is definitely not dead. We don't know who's using this coin and for what purposes. We could have thought for a while that it was sort of a fake network activity, but it never disappeared. Never dropped to 100-200 addresses a day. As ridiculous as it sounds there is at least some fundamental justification for the rally.
Even more, Shiba is currently in top 5 most active coins on Ethereum blockchain. See a screener for yourself:

There's no deny that some are still using this coin. What for? We have no idea.
Active Deposits

Yellow flags starting here. Extremely high active deposits are suggesting that it's probably a top forming.
Exchange Inflow

It's not very high, we would expect to see much higher. But still it's suggesting the same, probably a top forming.
Network Profit Loss

This chart is indicating that potential profit taking from Shiba is still relatively low, not a whole lot of profit taking yet. But it we zoom in...

... We would notice that higher price tops are built on lower profit taking spikes. This could potentially indicate that traders are becoming too confident on price action, like 'no need to sell, it's going to pump more'. Market tends to punish this sort of confidence.
Whale Transaction Count

This is another yellow flag for SHIB. Whale transactions are often coinciding with a local price top according to Santiment research "Whale Games: Backtesting the impact of large transfers on 1000+ coins".
Overall:
- Shiba Inu active addresses are crazy high
- Fair amount of top signals are visible
- High risk, low reward
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in the post are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security or investment product.
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Conversations (10)
@santrends The Whale Transaction Count is High as you stated above but is there a chance that a part of those WTCs which are about 60 to be huge buys ?. Because the Exchange outflow is high.
But the NPL is declining which indicates the crowd wants shiba to pump more often signaling top supported by Active Deposits(can be a reason for high active addresses), decent Exchange Inflow and low volume to support the price
Can you give a clarity
Author
Yes, can be
Author
Not sure I understand
Is there a decent chance shiba forms a Top and tank ?
Author
Yes, a really decent chance
I think by calling it a meme coin is outdated at this point. It's ecosystem is growing with so much more functionability. Shibaswap, NFTS, huge coin exchange acceptance/listing, The deal with ShopNow to accept the coin on Shopify and other popular shopping carts (with a controlled coin burn schedule), and $BONE and $LEASH are proving that this product has legs beyond meme tokens. Just my opinion. If it was just a community-driven rise, I might think different.
Author
Makes sense, for sure. Shiba seems to be quite an ecosystem already
nasceu como um meme e vai surpreender muitos......