Litecoin Beware: The Cold, Hard Truth About Its January Forecast Performance
I have recently conducted an analysis of Litecoin (LTC) and have discovered some intriguing information regarding its forecast performance for the month of January. It appears that LTC is currently overbought and therefore may experience a correction. Despite this short-term dip, the long-term outlook for LTC remains bullish.
To conduct my analysis, I utilized the MVRV metric and applied the formula ={(MVRV 90d / 30d)-1}. This allowed me to identify potential sell and buy opportunities. As we can observe, when the resulting line is above zero, it is not advisable to make a purchase at this time.
Continuing the analysis, it appears that the MVRV 30d and MVRV 180d metric is indicating that the price of Litecoin is likely to correct in the month of January. This is supported by the fact that when the formula =(MVRV30d-MVRV180d) is below zero, the price tends to correct based on past analysis.
As a result, I am overall bearish on Litecoin for the month of January and recommend selling.
People who are not taking this information into consideration are ignoring important data.
As the great Warren Buffet once said,
"Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful."
So let's all take a step back, take a deep breath, and wait for the right opportunity to strike. In the meantime, let's all have a laugh and remember that investing is not always serious business. Happy trading!
Thanks for reading!
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Conversations (3)
Hi @sanr_king Have you backtest this method? How's the result or you logic for the hypothesis of using formula (MVRV 90d / 30d)-1}. Going forward would you call it a leading indicator?
from the first glance, the "bearish setup" would rather be the MVRV divergence. Check this pattern from April 2021 and also June 2019
Author
When it comes to momentum trading, the divergence that you mentioned is a solid leading indicator for a reversal. However, it's important to keep in mind that when the line enters deep into the positive territory it can be a sign of high volatility for short periods of time such as 2-3 weeks. This can spell trouble for traders who aren't well-versed in navigating such market conditions or are prone to panicking easily. In these situations, it's best to tread carefully.