Feb 12

π Even with cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and XRP continuing to see their networks grow with more and more wallets, the same is not true for Bitcoin. Crypto's top cap has 277.24 LESS non-empty wallets than it did 3 weeks ago. The decline appears to be primarily due to small traders dropping out of the markets due to fear of further crypto-wide price drops.
Historically, these declines in retail belief are a positive sign for mid to long term price performances. When coins are shed by small traders, whales and sharks accumulate them and use their capital to drive up markets when crowd FUD is at its highest. π

πΊ How has on-chain network and social activity been looking for Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana as prices ebb and flow within crypto's ranging pattern? We catch up with Thinking Crypto in our latest video and dive into the charts!
Feb 8

π£οΈ With markets continuing to range, there is no better time to watch traders' emotions as they comment on whether to:
π¦ Buy
π₯ Sell
π¨ Hold
The attached chart indicates the trends of the vocal crypto community (who notoriously get their calls WRONG) calling for one of these three options as markets ebb and flow.
When you see the high tips of the candles skewing red (indicating FUD from the crowd), the probability of crypto markets rising greatly increases.
When you see the tips of the candles skewing blue (indicating FOMO from the crowd), the probability of crypto markets dropping greatly increases.
Markets move the opposite direction of the majority's expectations, and whales reap the rewards. If you like making profitable moves on shorter to mid term timeframes like whales do, follow along with our preset chart, and let us know what opportunities you've found.
Feb 6

π Despite Bitcoin being -11% from its Jan. 20 all-time high, retail sentiment is high toward crypto's #1 asset. Many have flocked back to it as a relative "safe haven" while altcoins have been heavily retracing. There is also continued optimism that Trump's pro-crypto policies will inevitably create bullish momentum again for BTC, in particular.
Ideally, we would like to see some of this crowd optimism die down, as prices historically will move the opposite direction of their expectations. Though there is no guarantee that this will happen, it may take a further retrace for small traders to begin overreacting and panic selling once again. But of course, with so many positives pointing toward a bullish long-term crypto future (including continued key stakeholder accumulation during this volatility) that the crowd's rollercoaster of emotions plays only a limited role in crypto's next moves.
If you'd like to follow along on the ratio of positive vs. negative sentiment across social sentiment, feel free to bookmark this helpful Santiment chart!

π³ In a tale as old as time, Bitcoin whales are stacking up more coins during crypto's mid-sized drop and major volatile conditions.
π For small retail traders, especially the ones who first entered the markets in the past 6 months, the volatility is causing them to liquidate.
π Overall, February has seen a growth of 135 more 100+ BTC wallets, and a plummet of 138,680 <100 wallets.
π This is an ideal setup for crypto market caps to rise, even if it takes a few more weeks (or even months) to see the generally bullish impact of coins being absorbed by whales.
Feb 3

πΈ In the MakerDAO ecosystem, Repayments Against Collateral refer to the process where borrowers settle their outstanding DAI debt, allowing them to reclaim their Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) collateral. Unlike forced liquidations, which occur when collateral levels drop too low, these repayments are deliberate actions taken by users to reduce leverage or close out positions.
For traders, this metric offers valuable insights into market sentiment. Large repayments can signal a shift in risk appetiteβwhether traders are securing profits, de-risking in anticipation of volatility, or repositioning based on broader market conditions.
Since WBTC is a widely used collateral asset in MakerDAO, its repayment patterns can have ripple effects across the DeFi space and potentially influence Bitcoin's price trajectory. Periods of heightened repayment activity often align with significant Bitcoin price movements, making this an important indicator to watch for potential trend reversals or liquidity shifts in the market.
When you see a high MakerDAO repayment spike on this chart, you'll usually find great opportunities to buy (if prices were moving down at the time of the spike) or sell (if prices were moving up at the time of the spike).

π° Bitcoin plummeted to as low as $91.2K as all of crypto has dipped with world stock markets starting the week with heavy bleeding. Media outlets seem to be attributing plummeting sectors to 'Trump's trade war'.
Whether this is the primary reason or if there are other contributing factors, the trader reaction in the cryptocurrency community has been overwhelmingly negative. So far today, bearish commentary across social media is at its biggest peak (when compared to bullish commentary) in over a year.
At the time of this writing, BTC has already recovered back above $96.0K and may not be done. Was this flush orchestrated to get trigger-happy retail traders to sell at a local bottom? Historically, markets virtually always move the opposite direction of the crowd's expectations.
When the majority of traders are this skeptical of cryptocurrency, we have seen ideal and surprisingly transparent buy opportunities. Follow along with this great sentiment chart, and see what others can't.
Jan 31

πͺ During crypto's closing hours of the work week, there are still strong levels of buying crypto from the retail crowd. However, sell mentions are almost non-existent. Monitor the mentions of buying, selling, & hodling across social media here.
Jan 30

π₯² Crypto markets continue enjoying a mild recovery week, but traders aren't showing many signs of FOMO. In fact, both greed and fear commentary across social media are both at their lowest points in 2025. When comparing Bitcoin price calls:
π¦ High spikes of $90K-$95K BTC calls indicate prices are likely bottoming out due to crowd FUD, signaling a high confidence time to buy & be bullish
π₯ High spikes of $110K-$115K BTC calls indicate prices are likely topping out due to crowd FOMO, signaling a high confidence time to sell & be bearish
As long as Bitcoin stays in this $95K - $110K range, this chart will continue to be useful to show when traders are getting overly eager to see prices slightly above or slightly below this range. Keep tabs on crowd FOMO and FUD here!
Jan 29

π Cryptocurrency has not (yet) been phased by Jerome Powell and the Fed's decision to halt interest rate cuts for the time being. Interest rates have been a sensitive topic for investors and traders of all sectors, particularly after they were aggressively cut in 2020 (as a reaction to covid) and raised in 2022 (as the pandemic restrictions mostly normalized).
There has been a strong association with these US rate cuts being bullish, and US rate rises being bearish over the past 5 years. However, there may be some easing sensitivity among Bitcoin and crypto market caps as the sector has significantly grown.
The most historic bull cycles in crypto have come when there is minimal reliance on world stock markets. They have been tightly correlated for much of the past 3 years now, but today is a good sign that cryptocurrencies aren't entirely fluctuating as simply 'high leveraged tech stocks', as many skeptics have been claiming.