🇺🇸 As Jerome Powell speaks on the state of U.S. inflation, we are seeing two very different stories between Bitcoin and Ethereum.

🫣 Bitcoin mentions across social media show 1.3 bullish comments for every 1 bearish comment. This reflects the crowd's high association between $BTC and the stock market, with its success highly contingent on a healthy American economy.

🥳 Ethereum mentions across social media show 3.0 bullish comments for every 1 bearish comment. This is likely due to the fact that $ETH's market value has soared +41% in just under 4 weeks. For retailers, the average trader is now excited about crypto's #2 asset after largely sidestepping it for the past 3 years.

💸 Percent of Total Supply in Profit is a straightforward metric that shows how much of a cryptocurrency’s current circulating supply is held at a profit—meaning the coins were bought at a lower price than they’re worth today. Currently, some notable top caps' supply in profit stats look like:

🪙 Bitcoin $BTC: 98.4%

🪙 Ethereum $ETH: 71.5%

🪙 XRP $XRP: 98.3%

🪙 Dogecoin $DOGE: 77.9%

🪙 Cardano $ADA: 71.0%

🪙 Chainlink $LINK: 80.5%

Even a tiny gain like +0.00001% counts as being “in profit,” making this a simple, yes-or-no measurement of market positioning, for every single coin. It helps investors quickly understand whether most holders are likely feeling optimistic or jaded, based on how their holdings have performed since entering circulation.

As more coins are mined, we will naturally see each coin see more and more of its total supply in profit. But by measuring the ratio of the asset's total supply in profit, we get a clear long-term picture of the market mood at a given moment because it focuses only on the currently available supply. Since crypto supply often increases over time, using percentages avoids misleading conclusions and helps investors gauge whether a coin is relatively overbought or oversold.

When combined with other metrics like MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value), RSI (Relative Strength Index), or Network Realized Profit/Loss, Percent in Profit becomes even more powerful. Crypto is a zero-sum game. So when large portions of a network are heavily in profit, the odds of profit-taking and a short-term pullback rise. But when most holders are sitting at a loss, it often indicates fear, undervaluation, and a potential opportunity to enter or add to a position before a price recovery.

Despite the all-time high celebrations, crypto never sleeps. And making the most informed decisions from here will likely come down to following key whale wallets and avoiding crowd think. We talk markets with Thinking Crypto.

📉 Ethereum has under 4.9% of its supply on exchanges for the first time in its 10+ year history. And Bitcoin's supply on exchanges is down to just 7.1% for the first time since November, 2018.

🗓️ Over the past 5 years, there is:

👉 1.7M less Bitcoin on exchanges

👉 15.3M less Ethereum on exchanges

🧑‍💻 Here are crypto's top ETH-based coins by development activity. Directional indicators represent each project's ranking positioning since last month:

➡️ 1) Chainlink $LINK 🥇

📈 2) Ethereum $ETH 🥈

📈 3) Synthetix $SNX 🥉

📈 4) sUSD $SUSD

📈 5) Status $SNT

📈 6) Lido DAO $LDO

📈 7) Livepeer $LPT

📈 8) Holo $HOT

📈 9) Decentraland $MANA

📈 10) Injective $INJ

📖 Read about the Santiment methodology for filtering notable github activity data from project repositories, and why it is so useful for crypto trading.

📺 Ethereum may not have had the immediate price pump traders were hoping for following the Pectra upgrade, but it has proven doubters wrong as the week comes to a close. We cover ETH, BTC, and meme coin euphoria on our latest This Week in Crypto video.

📺 With Bitcoin's historic rebound and Ethereum's rise from the dead, our latest video with Thinking Crypto looks at the ever-changing on-chain & social data across crypto. We cover whale behavior, meme coins rising, & plenty more!