🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 Social media has erupted with discussions about the US sending direct airstrikes on three major nuclear sites in Iran. President Donald Trump declared the strikes a success, stating the facilities were “obliterated” and warning that future attacks could be even more severe if Iran retaliates. This marked a significant escalation after over a week of crossfire between Israel and Iran.

Within the US, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) is calling for impeachment proceedings over Trump's decision, while others argue that the action was necessary to prevent Iran from advancing its nuclear capabilities. Meanwhile, global leaders and analysts are warning of possible retaliation not just through direct military action but also via cyberattacks, proxy violence, or disruptions to global oil supply routes. With roughly 40,000 U.S. troops stationed in the region, there is fear of further escalation. Particularly with Trump himself warning of "far greater" force if there is retaliation.

In the crypto space, the response has been swift. According to social metrics on Santiment, mentions of “Iran” nearly instantly spiked as the news hit. Bitcoin’s price has remained surprisingly steady, but this could be more due to the fact that it happened at night in the middle of the weekend in the US. Events like this often drive volatility as investors weigh the risks of a broader war. We will continue monitoring both the news, as well as the crowd's reaction, to identify how markets may be impacted.

Here is the link to the Iran social volume chart, as we see whether volatility begins to correlate with this news as the weekend progresses.

📺 In our latest video with ⁨@ThinkingCrypto⁩, we check out the on-chain & sentiment metrics behind Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana. See what others in crypto can't as we kick off a (hopefully) bullish summer.

📊 Bitcoin's elite vs. mortal wallets are moving in two different directions as its market value sits just north of $104.3K.

🐳 Wallets with 10+ $BTC: +231 Wallets in 10 Days (+0.15%)

🦐 Wallets with 0.001 to 10 $BTC: -37,465 Wallets in 10 Days (+0.15%)

When large wallets accumulate as retail loses confidence, this is historically the right combination for bullish momentum to inevitably return to crypto markets.

🇺🇸🏦 With Trump expressing his disappointment in Jerome Powell & the FOMC leaving interest rates unchanged, social media has erupted with discussions. Crypto, like global stock markets, stand to benefit if and when rate cuts happen again.

Currently, Bitcoin is -6.8% below its May 22nd all-time high. And the S&P 500 is -2.6% below its February 19th all-time high. Expect for the Trump administration and the Fed to continue to clash over the future direction of monetary policy.

Trump is likely to pressure Powell and the Federal Reserve to lower rates in an effort to stimulate markets and bolster economic sentiment. Powell, however, may continue resisting political influence, arguing for a more cautious approach based on inflation data and long-term economic stability.

😰 With crypto in a bit of a lull, traders are showing signs of impatience & bearish sentiment. There are just 1.03 bullish comments for every 1 bearish comment, which hasn't happened since peak FUD during initial tariff reactions on April 6th. This is typically a bullish sign.

Markets historically move the opposite direction of retail's expectations. A prime example was the optimal buy time during the early April fear from other traders. Monitor this Santiment $BTC sentiment chart, and see what others can't!

🇮🇱🇮🇷 The ongoing conflict between Israel & Iran has led to a visible increase in volatility across crypto. Sentiment data showed major bearish sentiment coming in between June 12th to 15th, in particular, coinciding with a 4–6% drop in Bitcoin's price and erasing over $200B from crypto's total market cap.

Despite the initial panic, Bitcoin has remained in the $104K-$105K range, aided by consistent ETF inflows and a lack of follow-through in military actions, mirroring the typical “risk-off, then stabilize” pattern seen in previous geopolitical crises. This pattern closely resembles Bitcoin’s price reaction to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, 2022, when BTC initially dropped off, then rebounded (before rising interest rates decimated prices later that year). The Israel & Palestine conflict that erupted in October, 2022 also saw Bitcoin drop -7% before stabilizing within days.

Though there are several ongoing elements, such as ongoing tariff concerns, that are still impacting cryptocurrency, this latest real world conflict will likely continue to cause volatile and unpredictable price action. Monitor the social volume of each country as discussions rise across social media with this tracker.

💸 Even with Bitcoin slipping below $104K Tuesday, Bitcoin ETF's remain strong. Working on a 5-day net inflow streak, there has been a total of just over $1.464B in money moving into $BTC's ETF's, dating back to June 9th. 👍

Track Bitcoin ETF inflows & outflows at zero cost on the straightforward Santiment dashboard here.

🐳 Bitcoin has surged as high as $108,947 with traders continuing to await another challenge of last month's $112,000 all-time high. Interestingly, after 3 months straight of declining whale & shark numbers, the $BTC network has 622 more 10+ $BTC wallets in just under 4 weeks.

You can observe how the levels of whale and shark wallets are fluctuating at any time with this handy Santiment chart!

📊 Bitcoin traders have mostly gone long on prices ever since yesterday's dip bottomed out, and have been slightly rewarded. Meanwhile, Ethereum traders have shifted from longing to shorting based on whatever the asset's price has done most recently.

Exchange funding rates are always prone to get liquidated when swinging from one extreme to the other. The best entry points are typically when other traders are betting against a coin, and best exit points are when others are very bullish.

Use this chart to keep tabs on when the $BTC and $ETH funding rates begin swinging in one direction to identify prime trading opportunities.