📉 Trading volume among crypto's 10 largest stablecoins has dropped to roughly 1/4th of the level we saw in the midst of the bull cycle in early December. Several factors are contributing to this:

📌 Trader Fatigue: Following the all-time high top back on January 19th, both institutional and retail traders have increasingly moved capital and taken profits while awaiting new catalysts.

📌 There have been new regulatory announcements in major markets, raising the level of uncertainty and causing traders of all sizes to take more of a 'hodling' approach for the time being

📌 Bitcoin's supply on exchanges recently reached a 7-year low, indicating trader contentment with executing less on-chain trading on a daily basis

📊 Crypto-wide trading volume has been dropping since its peak back on February 27th (when traders were optimistically buying dipping prices). After further market cap declines these past two weeks, trader behavior indicates a mix of exhaustion, hopelessness, and capitulation.

When trading volume for major cryptocurrencies consistently drops, even during slight price recoveries (like we have seen Wednesday), it typically points toward diminishing trader enthusiasm. In this scenario, traders are becoming cautious, suggesting they might not believe that the current upward price movements will last. Essentially, reduced trading activity reflects uncertainty, as fewer traders are convinced that buying at current levels will yield profitable outcomes.

Moreover, a weakening trading volume amid mild price bounces can serve as an early warning sign of weakening market momentum. Without robust buying participation, price gains can quickly lose steam, as there simply isn’t enough underlying support to sustain the upward trend. This leads to the possibility that any rebound could be temporary, with prices vulnerable to another downturn. Shrinking volume during minor rebounds isn't necessarily a direct bearish signal, but volume is a metric that measures participation from both retail and institutional traders. If both groups are waiting for the other to boost market caps in order to make their next moves, it can lead to price stagnancy with little movement (and a slight tendency to veer toward the downside).

To signal a healthier and more sustainable recovery, bulls generally will want to see both rising prices and rising volumes simultaneously. Until trading activity increases meaningfully, cautious market sentiment is likely to dominate.

🧑‍💻 Concerned that "crypto is dead" because market caps have declined over the past 6 weeks? Here is a look at the ever-rising development activity stats among the top 10 ecosystems in cryptocurrency this past month:

1) Ethereum ecosystem: +13% more dev. activity events, +1.9% more contributors

2) BNB Chain ecosystem: +17% more dev. activity events, +0.1% more contributors

3) Polygon ecosystem: +19% more dev. activity events, +1.2% more contributors

4) Arbitrum ecosystem: +20% more dev. activity events, +0.5% more contributors

5) Optimism ecosystem: +11% more dev. activity events, +0.6% more contributors

6) Avalanche ecosystem: +23% more dev. activity events, +0.7% more contributors

7) Harmony ecosystem: +26% more dev. activity events, +4.7% more contributors

8) Solana ecosystem: +17% more dev. activity events, +0.7% more contributors

9) Cosmos ecosystem: +9% more dev. activity events, +2.8% more contributors

10) Gnosis ecosystem: +25% more dev. activity events, -2.2% less contributors

🧑‍💻 When accounting for entire crypto ecosystems (all projects that currently run on a respective blockchain), Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Polygon are seeing the most development activity.

But it may surprise you to see dev. activity rate ascensions over the past 6 months from Avalanche (+10.0%), Harmony (+9.6%), and Solana (+7.4%). As more cryptocurrencies emerge that use available blockchain technology, Layer 1's that are getting the most usage will likely see advantageous market cap growth as 2025 progresses.

Follow along with the helpful Ecosystem Development Activity Events Dashboard here!

🗣️ The top trending topics that are circulating across crypto social media Thursday are:

🥦 Broccoli is trending due to its association with a meme coin linked to the dog owned by @cz_binance. The Broccoli token has gained attention on social media, particularly X, as users discuss its recent purchase surge, market cap, and trading volume. This excitement has sparked broader conversations about meme coins, with mentions of trading and investment opportunities on platforms like Binance Smart Chain.

🐶 Dog is trending for the same reason, as CZ's pet dog, Broccoli, and associated new meme coin has sparked speculation. The whimsical nature of the dog's name and CZ's influence have captivated many, driving the trend.

📈 $BNB is trending due to significant discussions about its recent bullish performance in the cryptocurrency market. Users have shown returned optimism about BNB's potential, particularly after its market cap surpassed Solana (SOL), making it the 5th largest cryptocurrency. There is excitement around upcoming upgrades and the aforementioned dog-themed meme coin launch by Binance's founder, which has further fueled interest in BNB and its ecosystem.

🪙 $SOL and its performance is being discussed in relation to other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Users are expressing interest in staking and DeFi opportunities associated with Solana, indicating a growing interest in its potential despite some skepticism about meme coins.

Check out the full top 10 leaderboard here, and keep tabs on what subjects are driving cryptocurrencies on a day to day basis!

🧐 Bitcoin has dropped as low as $58.9K today, returning to a 3-week low. However, traders are identifying this as a dip buy opportunity. The narrative flipped to bullish particularly after the US CPI report announced slightly higher inflation, with rate cuts still likely.

🧑‍💻 Here are the top 15 cryptocurrency blockchain ecosystems by their level of github events, along with their growth in the category over the past year. This list is based on each ecosystem's amount of 'pure' development activity events, rather than just 'commits':

📈 1) Ethereum Ecosystem: +0.8% Year-Over Year 🥇
📈2) BNB Chain Ecosystem: +3.0% 🥈
📉3) Polygon Ecosystem: -1.6% 🥉
📈4) Cosmos Ecosystem: +7.9%
📈5) Arbitrum Ecosystem: +11.6%
📈6) Optimism Ecosystem: +39.3%
📈7) Avalanche Ecosystem: +16.6%
📈8) Harmony Ecosystem: +5.9%
📈9) Polkadot Ecosystem: +1.8%
📈10) Solana Ecosystem: +12.1%
📈11) Osmosis Ecosystem: +10.7%
📈12) Cardano Ecosystem: +16.3%
📈13) Gnosis Ecosystem: +2.4%
📈14) Fantom Ecosystem: +31.7%
📈15) Near Ecosystem: +2.6%

Check out our full article about how we calculate github events here!